As of November 5, 2026, the top chase cards of Chaos Rising are the two Mega Greninja ex: the Special Illustration Rare at $130 raw and the gold Mega Hyper Rare at $115 (medians over the last 7 days). Next comes Cinccino ex at $36, then the other four Special Illustration Rares, from $25 down to $17. Only eight cards sell for $10 or more, and the Special Illustration Rare Mega Greninja ex is down 67% since its first full week on sale, when it sold for a median $397, so the launch prices of $400 and more no longer hold.
| # | Card | Rarity | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mega Greninja ex 116/086 | Special Illustration Rare | $118.74 |
| 2 | Mega Greninja ex 122/086 | Mega Hyper Rare | $108.99 |
| 3 | Cinccino ex 119/086 | Special Illustration Rare | $33.26 |
| 4 | Mega Dragalge ex 118/086 | Special Illustration Rare | $20.00 |
| 5 | Mega Floette ex 117/086 | Special Illustration Rare | $19.99 |
| 6 | AZ's Tranquility 120/086 | Special Illustration Rare | $18.50 |
| 7 | Roxie's Performance 121/086 | Special Illustration Rare | $15.97 |
| 8 | Mega Greninja ex 100/086 | Ultra Rare | $9.85 |
| 9 | Xerneas 091/086 | Illustration Rare | $5.74 |
| 10 | Froakie 088/086 | Illustration Rare | $5.49 |
Raw median of real completed sales, updated November 10, 2026.
1. Mega Greninja ex 116/086
Special Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
16 sales
Susumu Maeya's Mega Greninja leaps through a burst of water and bubbles, about 1 pack in 496 for this card on a count of June 2026. Nineteen PSA 10 copies sold for $290 to $425 from October 8 to 31, 2026, twelve of them at auction.
2. Mega Greninja ex 122/086
Mega Hyper Rare
Median (last 7 days)
11 sales
The set's one gold card, by takuyoa, with Mega Greninja as a silhouette on a gold ground, about 1 pack in 956 on a count of June 2026. Two PSA 10 copies sold at fixed prices of $700 and $572 on October 18 and November 2, 2026.
3. Cinccino ex 119/086
Special Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
16 sales
Keisin's Cinccino lounges on a canopy bed among pastel cushions and a heart-shaped pillow, about 1 pack in 496 for this card on a count of June 2026. Three PSA 10 copies sold for $123 to $150 from October 6 to November 1, 2026.
4. Mega Dragalge ex 118/086
Special Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
16 sales
Kazumasa Yasukuni's Mega Dragalge coils through swirls of neon purple, pink and green, about 1 pack in 496 for this card on a count of June 2026. Two PSA 10 copies sold for $95 and $106 on October 27 and 29, 2026.
5. Mega Floette ex 117/086
Special Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
21 sales
Teeziro's Mega Floette hangs beneath a dark red bloom against a blur of colored lights. The set's story casts it as the Mega that brings havoc to Lumiose City.
6. AZ's Tranquility 120/086
Special Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
24 sales
OKACHEKE's AZ rests on a garden bench in dappled sunlight. The card also plays: switch your Active Pokémon with a Benched one, and if the Pokémon you moved to the Bench is a Pokémon ex, heal 80 damage from it.
7. Roxie's Performance 121/086
Special Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
14 sales
Tomowaka's Roxie plays her bass in a burst of neon pink and blue. Two PSA 10 copies sold for $85 and $51 on October 6 and 20, 2026.
8. Mega Greninja ex 100/086
Ultra Rare
Median (last 7 days)
29 sales
The third Mega Greninja ex above the set's main numbers, by takuyoa like the gold card, in black and blue on a fiery orange ground, about 1 pack in 217 for this card on a count of June 2026.
9. Xerneas 091/086
Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
21 sales
YASHIRO Nanaco's Xerneas stands in a night sky strung with colored ribbons, about 1 pack in 103 for this card on a count of June 2026.
10. Froakie 088/086
Illustration Rare
Median (last 7 days)
34 sales
Susumu Maeya's Froakie leaps through green light and water. The same artist drew Frogadier 089/086 and the Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare, the rest of its evolution line.
How we rank them
Chase here means what sells highest: the 10 highest raw medians in the set. Each price is the median of real completed sales of the English print, which beats list prices and launch-week estimates, over the shortest window with enough sales. 75 of the 86 cards numbered up to 086 are outside our sales tracking, and one card above that number, the Ultra Rare Jumbo Ice Cream, has no sale on file, so the ranking covers the other 46. None of those 76 shows more than $1 on the Chaos Rising set page, which lists the whole set, and Jumbo Ice Cream shows no price there, as of November 5, 2026.
Close pairs can swap places. Compared over the same windows, the Special Illustration Rare Mega Greninja ex leads the gold card each time, though by little over 30 days, and Mega Floette ex and AZ's Tranquility are level over 30 days, though Floette leads by about $6 over 90:
| Card | Last 7 days | Last 30 days | Last 90 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Greninja ex 116/086 | $130 (17 sales) | $126 (93 sales) | $173 (381 sales) |
| Mega Greninja ex 122/086 | $115 (15 sales) | $125 (53 sales) | $159 (231 sales) |
| Mega Floette ex 117/086 | $23.32 (5 sales) | $20.16 (35 sales) | $26.25 (183 sales) |
| AZ's Tranquility 120/086 | $20.17 (21 sales) | $20.12 (123 sales) | $20.17 (425 sales) |
Raw medians of real completed sales of the English print, as of November 5, 2026.
Ranks 9 and 10 are closer still: Xerneas and Froakie sit 2 cents apart over 7 days and swap over 90 days ($7.05 against $7.29), with Ampharos and Mega Pyroar ex just behind.
Pull odds: what is known
The publisher prints no pull rates for English packs. These come from one count of more than 8,500 English packs, reported June 4, 2026:
| Tier | Cards | Any card of the tier | One given card |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 | 1 in 956 | Same as the tier |
| Special Illustration Rare | 6 | 1 in 83 | About 1 in 496 |
| Ultra Rare | 18 | 1 in 12 | About 1 in 217 |
| Illustration Rare | 11 | 1 in 9 | About 1 in 103 |
| Double Rare | 10 | 1 in 5 | About 1 in 49 |
One given card assumes equal odds inside the tier.
The count gives the Mega Hyper Rare a margin of 0.10%, plus or minus 0.07%, so treat 1 in 956 as rough. In booster boxes of 36 packs, these rates work out to about one Special Illustration Rare every 2 boxes, one given Special Illustration Rare every 14 boxes and one gold Mega Greninja ex every 27 boxes.
Which Mega Greninja ex is worth more?
Raw, the Special Illustration Rare, even though the gold card looks about twice as rare. In PSA 10 the order flips, on thin evidence: since October, the two gold copies sold at a known price went for $700 and $572, both at fixed prices, while 19 copies of the Special Illustration Rare sold for $290 to $425, 12 of them at auction. In August too, the gold card sold above the Special Illustration Rare's auctions. Far fewer gold cards reach the top grade:
| Card | PSA graded | PSA 10s | PSA 10 share | PSA 10 sales since October |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Greninja ex 116/086 | 9,664 | 6,544 | 68% | $290 to $425, 12 auctions and 7 fixed prices, Oct. 8 to 31 |
| Mega Greninja ex 122/086 | 2,909 | 655 | 23% | $700 and $572, fixed prices, Oct. 18 and Nov. 2 |
| Cinccino ex 119/086 | 2,165 | 1,433 | 66% | $123 to $150, one auction and two fixed prices, Oct. 6 to Nov. 1 |
| Mega Dragalge ex 118/086 | 1,336 | 806 | 60% | $95 and $106, one fixed price and one auction, Oct. 27 and 29 |
| Mega Floette ex 117/086 | 1,022 | 625 | 61% | None at a known price (one accepted offer, Nov. 2) |
| AZ's Tranquility 120/086 | 560 | 285 | 51% | $56 to $70, one auction and four fixed prices, Oct. 1 to 20 |
| Roxie's Performance 121/086 | 449 | 207 | 46% | $85 and $51, one fixed price and one auction, Oct. 6 and 20 |
PSA population as of October 1, 2026; sales read one by one. Slabs only, never an ungraded copy listed as a PSA 10 contender. Slabs sold on an accepted offer are left out, because the listing does not show the price paid.
CGC's counts of November 1, 2026 point the same way: 46% of 280 graded gold copies reached a 10 or Pristine 10, against 74% of 772 Special Illustration Rares. These counts show what came back from the grader, not why, and collectors may send in different copies of each card. The gold card of Pitch Black shows the same gap. Counts for every graded card are in the Chaos Rising pop report.
PSA 10 prices have fallen with the raw ones: the Special Illustration Rare sold at auction for $517 to $610 in late August 2026, against $290 to $425 in October.
How prices moved since release
| Card | Week of May 25 | Week of Aug. 3 | Week of Sept. 28 | Week of Oct. 26 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Greninja ex 116/086 | $397 (79) | $203 (61) | $149 (19) | $122 (34) | -69% |
| Mega Greninja ex 122/086 | $310 (93) | $190 (30) | $141 (9) | $114 (17) | -63% |
| Cinccino ex 119/086 | $87.05 (76) | $60.46 (50) | $44.65 (9) | $37.24 (15) | -57% |
| Mega Dragalge ex 118/086 | $67.73 (45) | $36.76 (48) | $26.61 (22) | $22.98 (26) | -66% |
| Mega Floette ex 117/086 | $54.80 (38) | $29.43 (38) | $24.31 (20) | $20.13 (7) | -63% |
| AZ's Tranquility 120/086 | $38.70 (76) | $24.53 (59) | $19.83 (30) | $20.16 (37) | -48% |
| Roxie's Performance 121/086 | $33.85 (86) | $19.62 (59) | $17.57 (32) | $16.11 (20) | -52% |
| Mega Greninja ex 100/086 | $23.84 (1) | $13.63 (29) | $9.68 (16) | $9.01 (22) | -62% |
| Xerneas 091/086 | $19.53 (25) | $9.75 (29) | $5.95 (33) | $6.79 (36) | -65% |
| Froakie 088/086 | $22.36 (45) | $10.75 (21) | $5.95 (49) | $5.78 (67) | -74% |
Weekly raw medians of real completed sales, with the number of sales in parentheses, converted at 1 EUR = 1.1267 USD (November 5, 2026). The set came out on May 22, 2026, so the week of May 25 is its first full week; change runs from that week to the week of October 26, which ended on November 1.
All ten fell, by 48% to 74%. The Special Illustration Rare Mega Greninja ex and Froakie lost the most; the two Trainer cards held up best, AZ's Tranquility at -48% and Roxie's Performance at -52%.
Week by week, the median of the cards in the table fell to 37% of its level in the week of May 25 by the week of October 26, 2026; the chart follows the five most expensive one by one. For how Chaos Rising compares with the other 2026 sets, see our study of Pokémon card prices after release.
The slide had not stopped by late October: from the week of September 28 to the week of October 26, the two Mega Greninja ex lost 18% and 19%, while Xerneas gained 14% and AZ's Tranquility 2%. Pitch Black, two months younger, shows the same early slide: see our Pitch Black chase cards, and why Pokémon cards cost so much for the pattern.
Open packs or buy singles?
For one given card, buy the single. As of November 5, 2026, a pack costs about $4.95 in a booster box ($178 for 36, 32 sales), $5.88 in a Booster Bundle ($35.28 for 6, 34 sales), $7.06 loose (20 sales) and $7.31 in an Elite Trainer Box ($65.80 for 9, 95 sales). At the box price, the average 496 packs for one given Special Illustration Rare cost about $2,457, against $130 for Mega Greninja ex, and the average 956 for the gold card about $4,735, against $115.
For the fun of opening, expect to get back about a third of the cost in these cards. At those odds and medians, an average pack holds about $1.68 of Double Rares and above:
| Tier | Odds per pack | Average raw median | Value per pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 83 | $42.12 | $0.51 |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 9 | $3.41 | $0.38 |
| Double Rare | 1 in 5 | $1.91 | $0.38 |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 12 | $3.54 | $0.30 |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 in 956 | $115 | $0.12 |
| Total | $1.68 |
As of November 5, 2026, on the 45 cards of these tiers with sales on file; Jumbo Ice Cream has none. Odds from the count of more than 8,500 packs. Rares, lower cards and reverse holos are left out, as are selling fees and shipping.
That is 34% of the $4.95 box price; the cards below Double Rare sell for little. Our best packs for rare cards ranking counts only cards at $100 or more, at September 24 prices, so its returns do not compare with this table.
FAQ
What is the most expensive Chaos Rising card?
Mega Greninja ex 116/086, the Special Illustration Rare by Susumu Maeya, at $130 raw (17 sales over 7 days) as of November 5, 2026. The gold Mega Greninja ex 122/086 follows at $115, though its two PSA 10 sales at a known price since October, $700 and $572, top every PSA 10 sale of the Special Illustration Rare in that time. For all sets, see the most expensive Pokémon cards.
What are the chase cards in Chaos Rising?
As of November 5, 2026, seven cards sell for $15 or more raw: the gold Mega Greninja ex and the six Special Illustration Rares, which are Mega Greninja ex, Cinccino ex, Mega Dragalge ex, Mega Floette ex, AZ's Tranquility and Roxie's Performance.
How rare is the gold Mega Greninja ex?
About 1 pack in 956 on a count of more than 8,500 English packs reported June 4, 2026, with a wide margin. That is about one every 27 booster boxes. Our rarity guide covers the Mega Hyper Rare mark.
What are the pull rates in Chaos Rising?
On that count: a Double Rare in 1 pack in 5, an Illustration Rare in 1 in 9, an Ultra Rare in 1 in 12, a Special Illustration Rare in 1 in 83 and the Mega Hyper Rare in 1 in 956. A pack holds 10 cards, a basic Energy and a code card.
Is a Chaos Rising booster box worth opening?
Rarely for resale. As of November 5, 2026, a box costs about $178, and its 36 packs hold about $61 of Double Rares and above at their medians, before fees and shipping. On average, a box holds less than half of one Special Illustration Rare.
How many cards are in Chaos Rising?
122: 86 numbered up to 086 and 36 above that, including 11 Illustration Rares, 18 Ultra Rares, 6 Special Illustration Rares and 1 Mega Hyper Rare. It came out on May 22, 2026, and draws on the Japanese set Ninja Spinner.
